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DSY:EURONEXT PARISDassault Systemes SE Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

$3.01

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at $3.01, well below its 20‑day ($3.60), 50‑day ($4.75) and 200‑day ($16.27) simple moving averages, underscoring a pronounced bearish trend. RSI sits at 32, flirting with oversold territory, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, hinting at a tentative bullish reversal. Volume is on an increasing trajectory, and the price hovers just above the identified support level of $2.80, suggesting a potential bounce but also limited downside cushion.
Recent corporate actions – a announced 1‑for‑20 reverse stock split and a shift to a dual‑class share structure – add short‑term uncertainty and could temporarily distort liquidity. The DCF‑derived fair value of $5.59 is markedly higher than the current price, implying undervaluation, yet the company’s fundamentals are weak: revenue fell 17%, operating margins are negative, cash flow is negative, and equity is negative with a book‑value per share of –$1.60. High 30‑day volatility (107%) and a historic max drawdown of –94% further amplify risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price well below all major moving averages
  • Bearish overall trend despite MACD hint
  • Potential volatility from upcoming reverse split

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • Increasing volume suggesting accumulating interest
  • Uncertainty around dual‑class share structure

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Negative operating cash flow and declining revenue
  • Negative book value and high debt levels
  • Sustained high volatility and historic drawdown

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-17.30%
Profit Margin8.75%
ROA-0.16%
P/B Ratio-1.9
Op. Cash Flow$-1513072
Free Cash Flow$2.0M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI32.0
Support$2.80
Resistance$5.00
MA 20$3.60
MA 50$4.75
MA 200$16.27
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair Value$5.59
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.04
Volatility107.03%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.